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osewalrusThe percentage of the population of voting age younger than Boomers finally became the majority 2014. Boomers still dominate elections, however, but even this is starting to change slowly.
All generations younger than Boomers barely outvoted Boomers in 2016, marking the first Presidential election this was the case.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/07/31/gen-zers-millennials-and-gen-xers-outvoted-boomers-and-older-generations-in-2016-election/
All generations younger than Boomers barely outvoted Boomers in 2018. This marked a very significant shift from 2014 -- in no small part because Millennials have traditionally had abysmal turn out on voting.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/05/29/gen-z-millennials-and-gen-x-outvoted-older-generations-in-2018-midterms/
All this gets into my need to make some adjustments on my old "demographic snake" model. The shifts I anticipated are happening at the pace I anticipated (extremely rapidly) in economics and social trends -- but not in politics. In fact, my political model turned out to be significantly wrong, starting with the primaries which were entirely Boomer dominated. But I think I know what the problems were and can adjust.
Now, oddly, the biggest issue going forward is the mortality age in rural areas.
All generations younger than Boomers barely outvoted Boomers in 2016, marking the first Presidential election this was the case.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/07/31/gen-zers-millennials-and-gen-xers-outvoted-boomers-and-older-generations-in-2016-election/
All generations younger than Boomers barely outvoted Boomers in 2018. This marked a very significant shift from 2014 -- in no small part because Millennials have traditionally had abysmal turn out on voting.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/05/29/gen-z-millennials-and-gen-x-outvoted-older-generations-in-2018-midterms/
All this gets into my need to make some adjustments on my old "demographic snake" model. The shifts I anticipated are happening at the pace I anticipated (extremely rapidly) in economics and social trends -- but not in politics. In fact, my political model turned out to be significantly wrong, starting with the primaries which were entirely Boomer dominated. But I think I know what the problems were and can adjust.
Now, oddly, the biggest issue going forward is the mortality age in rural areas.
